U.S.-Iran Conflict Has Montana Farmers Bracing for Rising Fertilizer Costs

While many of us are keeping a close eye on gas prices amidst the U.S.-Iran conflict, there are also quite a few keeping an eye on another price affected by the world's happenings right now: fertilizer.

As we approach spring planting season this year, things could wind up costing a little more than we're used to paying.

Fertilizer Prices Are Rising: Here's What We Know

Back in January, farmers across various states including Iowa, Kansas, and Montana shared their frustrations about the impact tariffs were having on essential expenses.

"We’re seeing falling prices for what we grow and higher prices for fertilizer and other imported inputs," Lehman told Abasto, a food and beverage publication.

"That combination is devastating."

In late February 2026, prices for all eight of the major fertilizers rose in the last two weeks of the month with seven rising higher than 5%.

ALSO READ: How High Will Gas Prices Get for Great Falls in March?

Urea, a synthetic nitrogen fertilizer, averaged $611/ton which is up 5% month-over-month and 12% year-over-year according to Progressive Farmer by DTN.

According to DTN, "the remaining six slightly more expensive fertilizers were DAP with an average price of $853/ton, MAP $880/ton, potash $486/ton, anhydrous $865/ton, UAN28 $412/ton and UAN32 $465/ton."

With all of the shipping disruptions going on, it's no wonder nitrogen prices climbed over 30% earlier this month. Because higher energy costs raise baseline fertilizer prices, there's no telling how high prices can get or the impact it will have on ag long-term.

How Do Rising Fertilizer Prices Affect Montana Farmers?

Nitrogen fertilizers are the go-to for Montana wheat, barley and pulse growers and as we heard from Lehman above, rising expenses with shrinking margins is a recipe for disaster.

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So, what can Montana farmers do?

It's advised to lock-in early purchases, use precision application to cut waste, or compare co-op/dealer pricing. While there are no major local shortages reported yet and prices expected to stay level, experts say the "worst-case scenario" will arrive sooner than later if disruptions persist.